You can refresh 538.com all the live long day, and all it will get you is a bunch of math. Paul Scheer knows where the real electoral predictors are.

See more Paul Scheer videos at Funny or Die

This reminds me of the the time I dressed up as Ross Perot for my high school marching band's Halloween party. The double-stick tape on my comically large nose kept coming unglued to my glasses, so I spent most of the night in the bathroom trying to fix my costume. Also, now that I think about it, it was junior year, which means it was in 1993. Not even an election year.

And that's when I won my first Nobel Awesomeness Prize.

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